![]() ![]() ![]() Yes, the Cougars rank higher in TRACR, but the Jayhawks’ 17-7 Quad 1 record and toughest strength of schedule in the country made it seem like they would get the edge. 8 in TRACR) did not make it to the Midwest Region over Houston (No. So here are some of our thoughts about how the model views the 2023 NCAA Tournament bracket: West is Bestįirst off, the fact that Kansas (No. Not everyone hit on Drake, Montana State, or Duke – we did. Of the teams that won its conference tournament, 17 of the 32 were TRACR’s top prediction and 27 of the 32 had either the highest- or second-highest chances of winning. TRACR’s predicted champion for each conference made it to the conference championship game in 26 of the 32 championship games. The model rewards teams that do well against good teams and punishes those that do poorly against weaker squads.ĭon’t believe in our predictions? Well, TRACR did a great job at predicting our conference tournaments. TRACR, which we also have for college football and women’s college basketball, is a net efficiency metric that calculates a team’s points per possession on both sides of the ball, adjusted by the team it plays. We are simulating the NCAA Tournament with TRACR, our Team Rating Adjusted for Conference and Roster. This will be updated constantly throughout the tourney, so make sure to check in to see who changes and where. We simulated the tournament thousands of times to find the chances of each team making it to every round in March. Our bracket predictions for the NCAA Tournament have been released. I’ve been writing college basketball notes all year. After more than four months of basketball, 32 conference tournaments, an endless amount of chaos and the drama of Selection Sunday, we are finally here. ![]()
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